The Frederick Citizen - Commentary and Thoughts and Curmudgeon by Contemporary Writers of Insightful Liberality!
|Today's Top Story|
Are you Ready to be one of our Writers?
Jack Lynch, Editor
Serving the Frederick, Maryland Community Proudly!
Jack Lynch, Editor
Note: Commentary and viewpoints on this website are the sole opinions of the writers and do not represent in any way any organizations of which they may belong, promote, or by which they are employed.
February 22, 2005
By Ted Waddelow, a Middletown High School Student with an interest in Political Science
Despite the clear majorities and power the Republicans possess now, they will not continue to control the government for the next decade, or beyond.
The Republican Party not only had its incumbent president reelected in the 2004 elections, but also gained a solid majority in the House of Representatives.
In addition to this, the Republican Party also has the majority of state governors; and with the increasing likelihood of openings on the Supreme Court in the next four years; it is quite probable that the Republicans will gain control of the courts as well.
One of the largest problems likely to face the Republican Party in the coming years is internal divisions.
The current Republicans are a blending of the traditional economically concerned conservatives, and social conservatives. This combination was a marriage of necessity for the social conservatives, with the Democrats being socially liberal, they turned to the Republicans instead.
Now that the Democrats have been soundly defeated in the 2004 election, the major factor that bound the two conservative factions together- a mutual enemy- has been diminished. It was a matter of expediency, and not necessarily agreeing with each other's goals; instead, simply wanting dominance over an ideological enemy.
With this near complete hold on power, the Republicans aim at leaving a conservative legacy - and the diverging political worldviews of the two conservative factions will conflict to the point of disrupting the current monopoly on power.
The social conservatives are concerned with such matters as a constitutional amendment banning homosexual marriage, banning abortion, and other matters largely concerning morality in society.
The economic conservatives are focused primarily on the issues that conservatives have traditionally been concerned with- trade, economic freedoms, and so forth.
On an individual basis, the concerns of one conservative group may mean little or nothing to a member of the other. When these two large conservative factions pursue their own agendas, these agendas may conflict, due to the nature of the alliance.
This split in priorities will diminish the power of the Republicans to the point that it may allow the Democrats to gain some ground in Congressional races.
In addition to the internal divisions the Republicans are setting themselves up to, they are also in a manner of speaking, getting enough slack in the rope to hang themselves.
Now that the Republican Party essentially controls all branches of the government, they will have to take the responsibility when anything goes wrong.
Considering the current state of affairs in the world, the Republicans stand only to lose their power if matters continue on the current track. With the United States eyeing Iran, and the announcement of North Korea that it has nuclear weapons; in addition to the quagmire situation in Iraq and Afghanistan, things seem to be on the verge of going further downhill. When this occurs, the Republicans will be the ones to take the blame.
There is undeniably a reactionary trend in America today. However, the state of matters is likely to get to the point that there is general dissatisfaction with the current state of affairs, not only with the aggressive foreign policies being enacted, but also with the very conservative domestic agenda that the Republicans have been promoting.
When there is not any drastic improvement at hand, the support that the Republicans have enjoyed may very well begin to waver. The past four years of a Republican executive have brought the country down, four more years can only continue the decline. The reactionary trend we are experiencing will be reversed, and the nation will begin a period of progressivism.
Once it becomes clear that internationalism is what is growing in the rest of the world, if we do not join in, then our decline in influence and power will continue.
In consideration of all of these factors, the Republican Party will not continue to have the same degree of power that they enjoy now. Reactionaries have little place in today's world, and soon enough the pendulum of the political culture will swing back to the Democratic Party.